Vermont Senate Forecast safe ind

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Bernie Sanders has a >99% chance of winning Vermont.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Bernie Sanders INCUMBENT		>99%
Gerald Malloy		<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Vermont Senate over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Vermont

Cook PVI

D+16.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Bernie Sanders	$10,495,959	$6,240,344	$6,308,693	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
Gerald Malloy	$130,935	$543,753	$425,650	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Bernie Sanders

Cash on hand

$10,495,959

Raised

$6,240,344

Spent

$6,308,693

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Gerald Malloy

Cash on hand

$130,935

Raised

$543,753

Spent

$425,650

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Vermont. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.