| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Maria Cantwell INCUMBENT | 97% | |
Raul Garcia | 3% |
Chance of winning Washington Senate over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Washington
Cook PVI
D+8.0
Last Winner
Democrat
5 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14 – 17 | 403 RV | Elway Research/Casca... | 39.0%Cantwell 30.0%Garcia | +9 Cantwell |
| Mar 19 – 22 | 600 RV | Echelon Insights/Con... | 44.0%Cantwell 36.0%Garcia | +8 Cantwell |
| Nov 15 – 16 | 700 LV | Public Policy Pollin... | 51.0%Cantwell 38.0%Garcia | +13 Cantwell |
| Oct 31 – Nov 4 | 403 RV | Crosscut/Elway Resea... | 43.0%Cantwell 23.0%Garcia | +20 Cantwell |
| Oct 31 – Nov 4 | 403 RV | Elway Poll | 43.0%Cantwell 23.0%Garcia | +20 Cantwell |
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maria Cantwell | $6,500,800 | $7,751,922 | $2,341,005 | March 31, 2024 | |
Raul Garcia | $151,781 | $372,455 | $254,663 | March 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$6,500,800
Raised
$7,751,922
Spent
$2,341,005
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$151,781
Raised
$372,455
Spent
$254,663
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Washington. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 Washington Senate | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Patty Murray | 57.28% | 1,741,827 |
Tiffany Smiley | 42.72% | 1,299,322 |
2022 Washington Senate
Patty Murray
Vote %
57.28%
Total Votes
1,741,827
2022 Washington Senate
Tiffany Smiley
Vote %
42.72%
Total Votes
1,299,322
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
