| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Maria Cantwell INCUMBENT | >99% | |
Raul Garcia | <1% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning Washington Senate over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Washington
Cook PVI
D+8.0
Last Winner
Democrat
9 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 – 4 | 431 LV | Research Co. | 60.0%Cantwell 40.0%Garcia | +20 Cantwell |
| Oct 17 – 18 | 571 LV | Public Policy Pollin... | 53.0%Cantwell 38.0%Garcia | +15 Cantwell |
| Sep 4 – 7 | 403 RV | Elway Research/Casca... | 55.0%Cantwell 33.0%Garcia | +22 Cantwell |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maria Cantwell | $3,318,981 | $9,992,114 | $7,874,091 | October 16, 2024 | |
Raul Garcia | $50,519 | $638,906 | $692,269 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$3,318,981
Raised
$9,992,114
Spent
$7,874,091
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$50,519
Raised
$638,906
Spent
$692,269
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Washington. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 Washington Senate | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Patty Murray | 57.28% | 1,741,827 |
Tiffany Smiley | 42.72% | 1,299,322 |
2022 Washington Senate
Patty Murray
Vote %
57.28%
Total Votes
1,741,827
2022 Washington Senate
Tiffany Smiley
Vote %
42.72%
Total Votes
1,299,322
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
