Candidate | Party | Win % |
---|---|---|
Tammy Baldwin INCUMBENT | 75% | |
Eric Hovde | 25% |
Chance of winning Wisconsin Senate over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Wisconsin
Cook PVI
R+2.0
Last Winner
Democrat
11 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jun 13 – 21 | 784 LV | Marquette University... | 45.0%Baldwin 38.0%Hovde | +7 Baldwin |
Jun 14 – 19 | 1,000 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 46.2%Baldwin 43.7%Hovde | +3 Baldwin |
May 31 – Jun 1 | 290 LV | Florida Atlantic Uni... | 43.0%Baldwin 38.0%Hovde | +5 Baldwin |
May 7 – 14 | 503 LV | BSG/GS Strategy Grou... | 49.0%Baldwin 37.0%Hovde | +12 Baldwin |
Apr 29 – May 10 | 614 LV | Siena College Poll/N... | 49.0%Baldwin 40.0%Hovde | +9 Baldwin |
May 3 – 7 | 1,457 RV | Quinnipiac Universit... | 54.0%Baldwin 42.0%Hovde | +12 Baldwin |
Apr 26 – 30 | 1,000 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 46.3%Baldwin 42.8%Hovde | +4 Baldwin |
Apr 20 – 26 | 1,245 RV | YouGov/CBS News | 48.0%Baldwin 41.0%Hovde | +7 Baldwin |
Apr 4 – 11 | 736 LV | Marquette University... | 44.0%Baldwin 37.0%Hovde | +7 Baldwin |
Mar 15 – 19 | 1,000 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 44.8%Baldwin 41.7%Hovde | +3 Baldwin |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tammy Baldwin | $10,251,350 | $14,051,149 | $9,790,094 | March 31, 2024 | |
Eric Hovde | $5,349,512 | $940,437 | $3,720,300 | March 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$10,251,350
Raised
$14,051,149
Spent
$9,790,094
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$5,349,512
Raised
$940,437
Spent
$3,720,300
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Wisconsin. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
2022 Wisconsin Senate | Vote % | Total Votes |
---|---|---|
Ron Johnson | 50.50% | 1,337,185 |
Mandela Barnes | 49.49% | 1,310,467 |
Adam Nicholas Paul | 0.00% | 67 |
2022 Wisconsin Senate
Ron Johnson
Vote %
50.50%
Total Votes
1,337,185
2022 Wisconsin Senate
Mandela Barnes
Vote %
49.49%
Total Votes
1,310,467
2022 Wisconsin Senate
Adam Nicholas Paul
Vote %
0.00%
Total Votes
67
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.