GOP Iowa caucus polls

Trump has a 34.6% lead based on 61 polls.

Apr 13, 2024

Photograph of Trump

Trump

53.0%
Photograph of Haley

Haley

18.4%

Estimate

95% of polls fall in this range

61 polls

Latest Poll: Fri, Apr 12, 2:05 PM EDT

Jan 13 – 15

1,092 LV

Insider Advantage/Tr...
52.1%

Trump

18.5%

Haley

+34 Trump

Jan 12 – 14

532 LV

Emerson College Poll...
55.0%

Trump

21.0%

Haley

+34 Trump

Jan 8 – 13

705 LV

NBC News/Des Moines ...
48.0%

Trump

20.0%

Haley

+28 Trump

Jan 12

850 LV

Insider Advantage
51.0%

Trump

17.0%

Haley

+34 Trump

Jan 10 – 12

1,099 RV

Big Data Poll
52.4%

Trump

17.2%

Haley

+35 Trump

Jan 7 – 11

500 LV

Suffolk University
54.0%

Trump

20.0%

Haley

+34 Trump

Jan 6 – 11

433 LV

Iowa State Universit...
55.0%

Trump

14.0%

Haley

+41 Trump

Jan 7 – 9

1,086 LV

Trafalgar Group
52.2%

Trump

18.4%

Haley

+34 Trump

Dec 2, 2023 – Jan 8, 2024

353 RV

Morning Consult
58.0%

Trump

15.0%

Haley

+43 Trump

Dec 19 – 20

850 LV

Insider Advantage
49.0%

Trump

17.0%

Haley

+32 Trump

+ More Polls

The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).