GOP Iowa caucus polls
Trump has a 34.6% lead based on 61 polls.
May 8, 2024
Trump
53.0%
Haley
18.4%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
61 polls
Latest Poll: Tue, May 7, 7:02 AM EDT
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13 – 15 | 1,092 LV | Insider Advantage/Tr... | 52.1%Trump 18.5%Haley | +34 Trump |
| Jan 12 – 14 | 532 LV | Emerson College Poll... | 55.0%Trump 21.0%Haley | +34 Trump |
| Jan 8 – 13 | 705 LV | NBC News/Des Moines ... | 48.0%Trump 20.0%Haley | +28 Trump |
| Jan 12 | 850 LV | Insider Advantage | 51.0%Trump 17.0%Haley | +34 Trump |
| Jan 10 – 12 | 1,099 RV | Big Data Poll | 52.4%Trump 17.2%Haley | +35 Trump |
| Jan 7 – 11 | 500 LV | Suffolk University | 54.0%Trump 20.0%Haley | +34 Trump |
| Jan 6 – 11 | 433 LV | Iowa State Universit... | 55.0%Trump 14.0%Haley | +41 Trump |
| Jan 7 – 9 | 1,086 LV | Trafalgar Group | 52.2%Trump 18.4%Haley | +34 Trump |
| Dec 2, 2023 – Jan 8, 2024 | 353 RV | Morning Consult | 58.0%Trump 15.0%Haley | +43 Trump |
| Dec 19 – 20 | 850 LV | Insider Advantage | 49.0%Trump 17.0%Haley | +32 Trump |
+ More Polls
The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
Donald Trump
Donald Trump is an American businessman, television personality, and politician who served as the 45th President of the United States from January 2017 to January 2021. Before his presidency, Trump was known for his real estate empire and for hosting the reality TV show, "The Apprentice." His presidency was notable for its non-traditional, often controversial, approach and prioritization of America-first policies. Trump was impeached twice by the House of Representatives, first in 2019 and then in 2021, but was acquitted both times by the Senate.
Nikki Haley
Nikki Haley is an American politician and diplomat who served as the U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations from 2017 to 2018. Prior to that, she was the Governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017, becoming South Carolina's first female and first minority governor. Haley is a member of the Republican Party and a notable figure within it. She started her political career as a member of the South Carolina House of Representatives from 2005 to 2011.
