Biden vs. Trump polls, Michigan

Trump has a 2.6% lead based on 37 polls.

Apr 13, 2024

Photograph of Trump

Trump

46.8%
Photograph of Biden

Biden

44.2%

Estimate

95% of polls fall in this range

37 polls

Latest Poll: Fri, Apr 12, 2:05 PM EDT

Mar 30 – Apr 4

600 RV

Bullfinch Group
42.0%

Biden

39.0%

Trump

+3 Biden

Mar 27 – 31

1,218 RV

Big Data Poll
52.0%

Trump

49.0%

Biden

+3 Trump

Mar 26 – 29

709 LV

Spry Strategies
48.0%

Trump

44.0%

Biden

+4 Trump

Mar 18 – 25

600 RV

Wall Street Journal/...
48.0%

Trump

44.0%

Biden

+4 Trump

Mar 15 – 19

1,000 RV

Emerson College Poll...
45.4%

Trump

43.0%

Biden

+2 Trump

Mar 14 – 19

1,097 RV

CNN/SRSS
50.0%

Trump

42.0%

Biden

+8 Trump

Mar 9 – 13

698 RV

Bloomberg News/Morni...
45.0%

Trump

45.0%

Biden

TIE

Mar 9 – 13

1,487 RV

Quinnipiac Universit...
48.0%

Trump

45.0%

Biden

+3 Trump

Feb 23 – 26

600 LV

North Star Opinion R...
43.0%

Trump

43.0%

Biden

TIE

Feb 21 – 25

1,000 RV

Emerson College Poll...
46.0%

Trump

44.0%

Biden

+2 Trump

+ More Polls

The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).