Montana 1 House polls, Zinke vs. Tranel
Zinke has a 5.0% lead based on 7 polls.
Dec 13, 2024
Zinke
47.7%
Tranel
42.7%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
7 polls
Latest Poll: Wed, Nov 27, 8:05 AM EST
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15 – 18 | 500 LV | Impact Research/Moni... | 46.0%Zinke 45.0%Tranel | +1 Zinke |
| Oct 14 – 17 | 400 LV | Guidant Polling and ... | 52.0%Zinke 44.0%Tranel | +8 Zinke |
| Oct 1 – 17 | 326 Adults | Montana State Univer... | 44.0%Zinke 37.0%Tranel | +7 Zinke |
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The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
