A bit of background... President Joe Biden's job approval rating is a key barometer of public sentiment, reflecting the nation's reception of his tenure and policies. As Biden positions himself for reelection, his approval rating is scrutinized for indications of the electorate's continued support or desire for change. This metric is central to understanding the political climate and forecasting the challenges or advantages Biden may face in securing a second term.

The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).