Biden vs. Trump vs. RFK Jr. polls

Trump has a 1.5% lead based on 117 polls.

Apr 13, 2024

Photograph of Trump

Trump

42.0%
Photograph of Biden

Biden

40.5%
Photograph of Kennedy

Kennedy

8.4%

Estimate

95% of polls fall in this range

A bit of background... As voters have soured on Joe Biden and Donald Trump over the past four years, many have wondered whether third-party candidates will run stronger than in previous elections. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s campaign introduces a compelling three-way contest against incumbent President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump. This unique configuration tests the waters of American political allegiance, as voters consider a broader spectrum of options for the country's leadership, similar to in 2016.

117 polls

Latest Poll: Fri, Apr 12, 2:05 PM EDT

Mar 25 – Apr 11

1,083 LV

Activote
44.0%

Trump

40.7%

Biden

15.3%

Kennedy

+3 Trump

Apr 7 – 10

1,582 RV

Economist/YouGov
43.0%

Trump

42.0%

Biden

3.0%

Kennedy

+1 Trump

Apr 7 – 8

4,000 LV

Redfield & Wilton
41.0%

Trump

41.0%

Biden

9.0%

Kennedy

TIE

Apr 4 – 6

1,265 RV

I&I/TIPP
38.0%

Trump

38.0%

Biden

11.0%

Kennedy

TIE

Apr 3 – 4

1,438 RV

Emerson College Poll...
43.2%

Trump

42.0%

Biden

7.8%

Kennedy

+1 Trump

Apr 1 – 3

1,099 LV

Rasmussen Reports
45.0%

Trump

38.0%

Biden

9.0%

Kennedy

+7 Trump

Mar 31 – Apr 3

1,601 RV

Economist/YouGov
43.0%

Trump

43.0%

Biden

2.0%

Kennedy

TIE

Mar 30 – Apr 1

1,619 RV

Big Village
38.8%

Biden

37.8%

Trump

8.2%

Kennedy

+1 Biden

Mar 30 – Apr 1

1,092 LV

Trafalgar Group
43.0%

Trump

40.0%

Biden

11.0%

Kennedy

+3 Trump

Mar 28 – 30

1,200 LV

Data For Progress
42.0%

Trump

41.0%

Biden

8.0%

Kennedy

+1 Trump

+ More Polls

The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).