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Biden vs. DeSantis polls

Tie polling average based on 171 polls.

Sep 23, 2024

Photograph of DeSantis

DeSantis

44.8%
Photograph of Biden

Biden

44.8%

Estimate

95% of polls fall in this range

Polling average unskewer

Our 'unskewer' is a way to adjust for whatever bias you think is reflected in the polls. For example, if a Republican candidate is at 44% and a Democrat is at 42%, slide our 'unskewer' 2 point to the left and it will reduce the Republican candidate's margin by 2 points.

Dem. +0.0

Original Avg.

Rep. BiasNo BiasDem. Bias

Dem. +0.0

Adjusted Avg.

Reset

171 polls

Latest Poll: Sun, Sep 22, 12:19 PM EDT

Jan 11 – 13

1,906 LV

CBS News/YouGov
51.0%

DeSantis

48.0%

Biden

+3 DeSantis

Jan 8 – 10

968 LV

Rasmussen Reports
42.0%

DeSantis

41.0%

Biden

+1 DeSantis

Jan 1 – 3

1,341 RV

Economist/YouGov
44.0%

Biden

41.0%

DeSantis

+3 Biden

+ More Polls

The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).

Ron DeSantis headshot

Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis is an American politician and former naval officer serving as the 46th governor of Florida since January 2019. A member of the Republican Party, DeSantis represented Florida's 6th congressional district in the United States House of Representatives from 2013 to 2018. He graduated from Yale University and Harvard Law School, and he served in the U.S. Navy as a JAG officer. His governorship has been marked by his handling of the COVID-19 crisis, among other policy issues.

Joe Biden headshot

Joe Biden

Joe Biden is an American politician and a member of the Democratic Party who is serving as the 46th President of the United States. Before his presidency, he served as Vice President under President Barack Obama from 2009 to 2017. Prior to that, he represented the state of Delaware in the U.S. Senate, holding that seat from 1973 to 2009. Biden's extensive political career has focused on issues such as foreign policy, criminal justice, and civil rights.

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