GOP primary polls

Trump has a 66.2% lead based on 577 polls.

Apr 13, 2024

Photograph of Trump

Trump

81.8%
Photograph of Haley

Haley

15.6%

Estimate

95% of polls fall in this range

A bit of background... GOP Presidential Primary national polling features former President Donald Trump and former UN Secretary Nikki Haley. The polling indicator of the party's direction and the preferences of its base. These national averages become more important as primary elections occur more frequently.

577 polls

Latest Poll: Fri, Apr 12, 2:05 PM EDT

Mar 6 – 7

1,350 RV

Emerson College Poll...
80.5%

Haley

14.5%

Trump

+66 Haley

Mar 4 – 6

586 RV

Economist/YouGov
76.0%

Trump

15.0%

Haley

+61 Trump

Mar 4 – 6

616 Adults

Economist/YouGov
74.0%

Trump

13.0%

Haley

+61 Trump

Mar 2 – 4

3,804 LV

Morning Consult
82.0%

Trump

17.0%

Haley

+65 Trump

Feb 29 – Mar 2

500 RV

I&I/TIPP Insights
79.0%

Trump

11.0%

Haley

+68 Trump

Feb 28 – Mar 1

3,804 LV

Morning Consult
82.0%

Trump

17.0%

Haley

+65 Trump

Feb 26 – 29

292 RV

New York Times/Siena...
77.0%

Trump

20.0%

Haley

+57 Trump

Feb 26 – 29

292 LV

New York Times/Siena...
76.0%

Trump

21.0%

Haley

+55 Trump

Feb 25 – 29

1,114 RV

HarrisX/Forbes
79.0%

Trump

12.0%

Haley

+67 Trump

Feb 26 – 28

601 RV

Economist/YouGov
80.0%

Trump

12.0%

Haley

+68 Trump

+ More Polls

The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).