GOP primary polls
Trump has a 66.2% lead based on 577 polls.
Apr 28, 2024
Trump
81.8%
Haley
15.6%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
A bit of background... GOP Presidential Primary national polling features former President Donald Trump and former UN Secretary Nikki Haley. The polling indicator of the party's direction and the preferences of its base. These national averages become more important as primary elections occur more frequently.
577 polls
Latest Poll: Sun, Apr 28, 8:08 AM EDT
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6 – 7 | 1,350 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 80.5%Haley 14.5%Trump | +66 Haley |
| Mar 4 – 6 | 586 RV | Economist/YouGov | 76.0%Trump 15.0%Haley | +61 Trump |
| Mar 4 – 6 | 616 Adults | Economist/YouGov | 74.0%Trump 13.0%Haley | +61 Trump |
| Mar 2 – 4 | 3,804 LV | Morning Consult | 82.0%Trump 17.0%Haley | +65 Trump |
| Feb 29 – Mar 2 | 500 RV | I&I/TIPP Insights | 79.0%Trump 11.0%Haley | +68 Trump |
| Feb 28 – Mar 1 | 3,804 LV | Morning Consult | 82.0%Trump 17.0%Haley | +65 Trump |
| Feb 26 – 29 | 292 RV | New York Times/Siena... | 77.0%Trump 20.0%Haley | +57 Trump |
| Feb 26 – 29 | 292 LV | New York Times/Siena... | 76.0%Trump 21.0%Haley | +55 Trump |
| Feb 25 – 29 | 1,114 RV | HarrisX/Forbes | 79.0%Trump 12.0%Haley | +67 Trump |
| Feb 26 – 28 | 601 RV | Economist/YouGov | 80.0%Trump 12.0%Haley | +68 Trump |
+ More Polls
The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
Donald Trump
Donald Trump is an American businessman, television personality, and politician who served as the 45th President of the United States from January 2017 to January 2021. Before his presidency, Trump was known for his real estate empire and for hosting the reality TV show, "The Apprentice." His presidency was notable for its non-traditional, often controversial, approach and prioritization of America-first policies. Trump was impeached twice by the House of Representatives, first in 2019 and then in 2021, but was acquitted both times by the Senate.
Nikki Haley
Nikki Haley is an American politician and diplomat who served as the U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations from 2017 to 2018. Prior to that, she was the Governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017, becoming South Carolina's first female and first minority governor. Haley is a member of the Republican Party and a notable figure within it. She started her political career as a member of the South Carolina House of Representatives from 2005 to 2011.
