A bit of background... The Right/Wrong Track polling data captures the American public's sentiment about the country's current trajectory, offering insights into the collective mood and potential desire for political change or stability. This sentiment is critical in shaping electoral campaigns and political messaging, as candidates and parties seek to align with or address the public's concerns.

The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).