Nebraska Senate polls, Fischer vs. Osborn
Fischer has a 1.3% lead based on 19 polls.
Dec 12, 2024
Fischer
48.3%
Osborn
47.0%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
Internal polls affiliated with Dan Osborn are classified as a Internal Democrat Polls in our system, even though Dan Osborn is running as an independent. This classification stems primarily from his campaign’s reliance on mechanisms and strategies associated with the Democratic Party. For instance, he uses ActBlue for fundraising and has engaged with the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. In this solid red state, the otherwise dormant Democratic Party has nearly unanimously supported his challenge to Republican dominance.
19 polls
Latest Poll: Wed, Nov 27, 8:05 AM EST
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 600 LV | Change Research/Dan ... | 47.0%Fischer 47.0%Osborn | TIE |
| Oct 26 – 29 | 605 LV | Torchlight Strategie... | 50.6%Fischer 43.1%Osborn | +8 Fischer |
| Oct 22 – 29 | 1,202 LV | YouGov/The Economist | 50.0%Fischer 43.0%Osborn | +7 Fischer |
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The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
