Nebraska Senate polls, Fischer vs. Osborn
Osborn has a 1.4% lead based on 14 polls.
Oct 24, 2024
Osborn
47.8%
Fischer
46.4%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
Internal polls affiliated with Dan Osborn are classified as a Internal Democrat Polls in our system, even though Dan Osborn is running as an independent. This classification stems primarily from his campaign’s reliance on mechanisms and strategies associated with the Democratic Party. For instance, he uses ActBlue for fundraising and has engaged with the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. In this solid red state, the otherwise dormant Democratic Party has nearly unanimously supported his challenge to Republican dominance.
14 polls
Latest Poll: Wed, Oct 23, 1:30 PM EDT
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 – 22 | 815 LV | Change Research/Dan ... | 48.0%Osborn 46.0%Fischer | +2 Osborn |
| Oct 13 – 16 | 625 LV | Torchlight Strategie... | 51.3%Fischer 44.5%Osborn | +7 Fischer |
| Oct 10 – 13 | 563 LV | SurveyUSA/Dan Osborn | 50.0%Osborn 44.0%Fischer | +6 Osborn |
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The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
