Decision Desk HQ / The Hill Logo

Decision Desk HQ and The Hill’s ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results.

Biden vs. Trump vs. RFK Jr. polls, Nevada

Trump has a 3.5% lead based on 23 polls.

Jun 23, 2024

Photograph of Trump

Trump

42.4%
Photograph of Biden

Biden

38.9%
Photograph of Kennedy

Kennedy

8.6%

Estimate

95% of polls fall in this range

A bit of background... RFK Jr. is not currently on the general election ballot in every state. He is in the process of petitioning states in order to be granted access. Nonetheless, polling including RFK Jr. has still been conducted state by state and this page reflects that.

23 polls

Latest Poll: Fri, Jun 21, 5:58 AM EDT

Jun 14 – 19

1,000 RV

Emerson College Poll...
42.1%

Trump

39.1%

Biden

7.2%

Kennedy

+3 Trump

Jun 2 – 5

1,069 RV

Beacon Research/Shaw...
45.0%

Trump

40.0%

Biden

7.0%

Kennedy

+5 Trump

May 23 – 26

601 LV

The Tyson Group/Brea...
40.0%

Trump

37.0%

Biden

9.0%

Kennedy

+3 Trump

May 20 – 22

522 RV

Florida Atlantic Uni...
44.0%

Trump

39.8%

Biden

8.6%

Kennedy

+4 Trump

May 18 – 22

600 LV

Iron Light / League ...
37.0%

Trump

34.0%

Biden

15.0%

Kennedy

+3 Trump

May 10 – 17

468 RV

Prime Group/Citizens...
44.0%

Trump

43.0%

Biden

10.0%

Kennedy

+1 Trump

May 9 – 14

459 RV

Morning Consult/Bloo...
44.0%

Trump

39.0%

Biden

7.0%

Kennedy

+5 Trump

May 7 – 14

402 LV

BSG/GS Strategy Grou...
43.0%

Trump

35.0%

Biden

10.0%

Kennedy

+8 Trump

Apr 29 – May 10

614 RV

Siena College Poll/N...
41.0%

Trump

27.0%

Biden

12.0%

Kennedy

+14 Trump

Apr 26 – 30

1,000 RV

Emerson College Poll...
42.1%

Trump

37.1%

Biden

7.7%

Kennedy

+5 Trump

+ More Polls

The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).

Donald Trump headshot

Donald Trump

Donald Trump is an American businessman, television personality, and politician who served as the 45th President of the United States from January 2017 to January 2021. Before his presidency, Trump was known for his real estate empire and for hosting the reality TV show, "The Apprentice." His presidency was notable for its non-traditional, often controversial, approach and prioritization of America-first policies. Trump was impeached twice by the House of Representatives, first in 2019 and then in 2021, but was acquitted both times by the Senate.

Joe Biden headshot

Joe Biden

Joe Biden is an American politician and a member of the Democratic Party who is serving as the 46th President of the United States. Before his presidency, he served as Vice President under President Barack Obama from 2009 to 2017. Prior to that, he represented the state of Delaware in the U.S. Senate, holding that seat from 1973 to 2009. Biden's extensive political career has focused on issues such as foreign policy, criminal justice, and civil rights.

RFK Jr. headshot

RFK Jr.

RFK Jr., or Robert F. Kennedy Jr., is an American environmental lawyer and activist. As the son of Robert F. Kennedy, former U.S. Attorney General and Senator from New York, and the nephew of President John F. Kennedy, he has a deep-seated connection to American politics. However, he has primarily focused his career on environmental advocacy, co-founding the Waterkeeper Alliance, an organization dedicated to clean water. He has often stirred controversy, particularly with his vocal skepticism towards vaccines.

Related Stories