Harris, Trump, RFK Jr. polls, New Mexico
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
A bit of background... RFK Jr. is not currently on the general election ballot in every state. He is in the process of petitioning states in order to be granted access. Nonetheless, polling including RFK Jr. has still been conducted state by state and this page reflects that.
Crunching poll data...
The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
