New Mexico 2 House polls, Vasquez vs. Herrell
Vasquez has a 5.5% lead based on 3 polls.
Dec 22, 2024
Vasquez
49.7%
Herrell
44.2%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
3 polls
Latest Poll: Wed, Nov 27, 8:05 AM EST
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 – 19 | 414 LV | Research and Polling... | 49.0%Vasquez 45.0%Herrell | +4 Vasquez |
| Sep 27 – Oct 1 | 582 LV | SurveyUSA/KOB-TV | 51.0%Vasquez 42.0%Herrell | +9 Vasquez |
| Aug 21 – 23 | 283 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 50.3%Vasquez 40.5%Herrell | +10 Vasquez |
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The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
