New York 1 House polls, Lalota vs. Avlon
LaLota has a 3.3% lead based on 3 polls.
Nov 21, 2024
LaLota
47.0%
Avlon
43.7%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
3 polls
Latest Poll: Tue, Nov 5, 3:53 AM EST
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14 – 18 | 526 LV | Siena College Poll/N... | 47.0%LaLota 44.0%Avlon | +3 LaLota |
| Sep 30 – Oct 2 | 500 LV | Cygnal / Congression... | 49.2%LaLota 39.6%Avlon | +10 LaLota |
| Sep 27 – 30 | 400 LV | Fabrizio Lee/Nick La... | 50.0%LaLota 42.0%Avlon | +8 LaLota |
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The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
