New York 17 House polls, Jones vs. Lawler
Lawler has a 3.1% lead based on 4 polls.
Oct 4, 2024
Lawler
46.3%
Jones
43.2%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
4 polls
Latest Poll: Fri, Oct 4, 6:25 AM EDT
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 – 19 | 500 LV | GBAO/Mondaire Jones | 47.0%Lawler 45.0%Jones | +2 Lawler |
| Aug 11 – 18 | 433 RV | Future Majority/Chan... | 43.0%Lawler 38.0%Jones | +5 Lawler |
| Aug 9 – 13 | 500 LV | GBAO/Mondaire Jones | 47.0%Lawler 40.0%Jones | +7 Lawler |
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The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
