New York 19 House polls, Vasquez vs. Herrell
Riley has a 4.5% lead based on 4 polls.
Dec 22, 2024
Riley
46.7%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
4 polls
Latest Poll: Wed, Nov 27, 8:05 AM EST
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 – 17 | 561 LV | SurveyUSA/NewsChanne... | 46.0%Riley 42.0%Molinaro | +4 Riley |
| Oct 10 – 14 | 801 LV | Garin-Hart-Yang Rese... | 48.0%Riley 45.0%Molinaro | +3 Riley |
| Sep 6 – 13 | 461 LV | RMG Research/U.S. Te... | 42.0%Riley 39.0%Molinaro | +3 Riley |
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The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
