Ohio Senate polls, Brown vs. Moreno
Brown has a 6.7% lead based on 13 polls.
Apr 30, 2024
Brown
43.8%
Moreno
37.1%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
A bit of background... In the 2024 Ohio Senate race, the incumbent senator, Sherrod Brown, faces a strong challenge from Trump-aligned Bernie Moreno. Polling averages are expected to indicate a tight contest, even as Ohio tends to be a solidly Republican state at the presidential level. Ohio's mix of urban and rural voters, along with its status as a bellwether state, makes it a key battleground in the race for control of the Senate. The ability to appeal to white working-class voters and mobilize key constituencies will be crucial factors in determining the outcome of this race.
13 polls
Latest Poll: Mon, Apr 29, 12:11 PM EDT
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14 | 705 LV | Mainstreet Research/... | 48.0%Brown 36.0%Moreno | +12 Brown |
| Mar 9 – 12 | 1,298 LV | East Carolina Univer... | 44.6%Brown 40.5%Moreno | +4 Brown |
| Mar 7 – 12 | 1,241 RV | Ohio Northern/Survey... | 44.0%Brown 37.0%Moreno | +7 Brown |
| Mar 8 – 11 | 1,300 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 38.7%Brown 34.1%Moreno | +5 Brown |
| Jan 24 – 26 | 1,844 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 39.4%Brown 37.1%Moreno | +2 Brown |
| Nov 11 – 14 | 1,000 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 42.3%Brown 31.7%Moreno | +11 Brown |
| Nov 1 – 3 | 597 LV | Data for Progress | 48.0%Brown 44.0%Moreno | +4 Brown |
| Oct 17 – 20 | 269 RV | Ohio Northern Univer... | 44.0%Brown 26.0%Moreno | +18 Brown |
| Oct 3 – 5 | 438 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 35.0%Brown 33.0%Moreno | +2 Brown |
| Oct 2 – 4 | 438 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 35.0%Brown 33.0%Moreno | +2 Brown |
+ More Polls
The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
Bernie Moreno
Bernie Moreno is an American businessman and political candidate. Born in Colombia, he immigrated to the United States with his family as a child. He built his career in the automotive industry, owning several luxury car dealerships before selling off most of them in 2017. He is also known for his blockchain technology advocacy, including founding the "Blockland" initiative in Cleveland. Moreno launched his political career as a Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate in Ohio, seeking to replace retiring senator Rob Portman in the 2022 elections.
Sherrod Brown
Sherrod Brown is a Democratic politician from the United States who currently serves as a senator for Ohio, a position he has held since 2007. Before becoming a senator, Brown served as a U.S. representative from Ohio's 13th congressional district from 1993 to 2007. Known for his progressive platform, he has advocated for labor rights, healthcare reform, and environmental issues throughout his political career. Prior to his roles in Congress, he served as Ohio's Secretary of State. He is also an author and has penned books on a variety of social issues.
