Biden vs. Trump vs. RFK Jr. polls, Pennsylvania
Trump has a 2.7% lead based on 22 polls.
May 2, 2024
Trump
44.4%
Biden
41.7%
Kennedy
7.3%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
A bit of background... RFK Jr. is not currently on the general election ballot in every state. He is in the process of petitioning states in order to be granted access. Nonetheless, polling including RFK Jr. has still been conducted state by state and this page reflects that.
22 polls
Latest Poll: Wed, May 1, 1:29 PM EDT
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26 – 30 | 1,000 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 45.0%Trump 40.8%Biden 5.5%Kennedy | +4 Trump |
| Apr 12 – 17 | 1,141 RV | Beacon Research/Shaw... | 44.0%Trump 42.0%Biden 8.0%Kennedy | +2 Trump |
| Apr 9 – 14 | 803 RV | Bloomberg News/Morni... | 43.0%Trump 42.0%Biden 8.0%Kennedy | +1 Trump |
| Mar 27 – 31 | 1,305 RV | Big Data Poll | 46.0%Trump 42.0%Biden 9.0%Kennedy | +4 Trump |
| Mar 23 – 27 | 800 RV | Bullfinch Group/Comm... | 44.0%Biden 41.0%Trump 7.0%Kennedy | +3 Biden |
| Mar 18 – 25 | 600 RV | Wall Street Journal/... | 41.0%Trump 38.0%Biden 7.0%Kennedy | +3 Trump |
| Mar 14 – 19 | 1,132 RV | CNN/SRSS | 40.0%Trump 38.0%Biden 16.0%Kennedy | +2 Trump |
| Mar 15 – 18 | 900 V | Telegraph/Redfield &... | 44.0%Trump 41.0%Biden 7.0%Kennedy | +3 Trump |
| Mar 11 – 14 | 1,000 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 43.7%Trump 40.2%Biden 5.4%Kennedy | +4 Trump |
| Mar 9 – 13 | 807 RV | Bloomberg News/Morni... | 44.0%Trump 38.0%Biden 7.0%Kennedy | +6 Trump |
+ More Polls
The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
Donald Trump
Donald Trump is an American businessman, television personality, and politician who served as the 45th President of the United States from January 2017 to January 2021. Before his presidency, Trump was known for his real estate empire and for hosting the reality TV show, "The Apprentice." His presidency was notable for its non-traditional, often controversial, approach and prioritization of America-first policies. Trump was impeached twice by the House of Representatives, first in 2019 and then in 2021, but was acquitted both times by the Senate.
Joe Biden
Joe Biden is an American politician and a member of the Democratic Party who is serving as the 46th President of the United States. Before his presidency, he served as Vice President under President Barack Obama from 2009 to 2017. Prior to that, he represented the state of Delaware in the U.S. Senate, holding that seat from 1973 to 2009. Biden's extensive political career has focused on issues such as foreign policy, criminal justice, and civil rights.
RFK Jr.
RFK Jr., or Robert F. Kennedy Jr., is an American environmental lawyer and activist. As the son of Robert F. Kennedy, former U.S. Attorney General and Senator from New York, and the nephew of President John F. Kennedy, he has a deep-seated connection to American politics. However, he has primarily focused his career on environmental advocacy, co-founding the Waterkeeper Alliance, an organization dedicated to clean water. He has often stirred controversy, particularly with his vocal skepticism towards vaccines.
