Pennsylvania Senate polls, McCormick vs. Casey
Casey has a 2.0% lead based on 134 polls.
Dec 14, 2024
Casey
48.6%
McCormick
46.6%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
A bit of background... The 2024 Pennsylvania Senate race is expected to be one of the most closely watched contests of the election cycle. Analysts expect a highly competitive race, although Democratic incumbent Bob Casey Jr. has historically been a strong candidate. Pennsylvania's diverse electorate, with a mix of urban and rural voters, makes it a key swing state. The outcome of this race could have significant implications for the balance of power in the Senate.
134 polls
Latest Poll: Wed, Nov 27, 8:05 AM EST
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 – 5 | 1,840 LV | AtlasIntel | 49.2%Casey 46.5%McCormick | +3 Casey |
| Nov 2 – 5 | 869 LV | Survation | 53.0%Casey 45.0%McCormick | +8 Casey |
| Nov 3 – 4 | 435 LV | Research Co. | 50.0%Casey 48.0%McCormick | +2 Casey |
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The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
Bob Casey
Bob Casey is an American attorney and politician serving as the senior United States Senator from Pennsylvania, a position he has held since 2007. He is a member of the Democratic Party. Prior to his tenure in the Senate, Casey served as Pennsylvania State Treasurer and Pennsylvania Auditor General. He is known for his focus on issues regarding health care, children's welfare, and infrastructure.
David McCormick
David McCormick is an American businessman and former government official. He is a Hassler Veteran in Residence for Economics and National Security at the Hoover Institution and was the CEO of Bridgewater Associates, one of the world's largest hedge fund. He has served in the U.S. Treasury Department under George W. Bush's administration as Under Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs. Prior to his governmental roles, McCormick was a faculty member at West Point, where he taught economics. He is a veteran, having served in the U.S. Army as a captain. McCormick received his Ph.D. in engineering from Princeton University.
