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Decision Desk HQ and The Hill's ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results.

Tennessee GOP primary polls

Trump has a 63.9% lead based on 7 polls.

Dec 12, 2024

Photograph of Trump

Trump

80.6%
Photograph of Haley

Haley

16.7%

Estimate

95% of polls fall in this range

7 polls

Latest Poll: Wed, Nov 27, 8:05 AM EST

Mar 1 – 4

147 RV

FAU/Mainstreet Resea...
78.1%

Trump

15.7%

Haley

+62 Trump

Jan 24 – Feb 5

428 RV

Morning Consult
81.0%

Trump

18.0%

Haley

+63 Trump

Dec 15 – 29

646 LV

Beacon Poll of Tenne...
71.0%

Trump

6.0%

Haley

+65 Trump

+ More Polls

The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).

Donald Trump headshot

Donald Trump

Donald Trump is an American businessman, television personality, and politician who served as the 45th President of the United States from January 2017 to January 2021. Before his presidency, Trump was known for his real estate empire and for hosting the reality TV show, "The Apprentice." His presidency was notable for its non-traditional, often controversial, approach and prioritization of America-first policies. Trump was impeached twice by the House of Representatives, first in 2019 and then in 2021, but was acquitted both times by the Senate.

Nikki Haley headshot

Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley is an American politician and diplomat who served as the U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations from 2017 to 2018. Prior to that, she was the Governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017, becoming South Carolina's first female and first minority governor. Haley is a member of the Republican Party and a notable figure within it. She started her political career as a member of the South Carolina House of Representatives from 2005 to 2011.

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