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Texas GOP primary polls

Trump has a 59.6% lead based on 18 polls.

Jun 25, 2024

Photograph of Trump

Trump

77.8%
Photograph of Haley

Haley

18.2%

Estimate

95% of polls fall in this range

18 polls

Latest Poll: Mon, Jun 24, 6:02 AM EDT

Mar 1 – 4

173 RV

FAU/Mainstreet Resea...
74.2%

Trump

18.7%

Haley

+56 Trump

Feb 19 – 27

522 RV

University of Texas ...
75.0%

Trump

17.0%

Haley

+58 Trump

Jan 24 – Feb 5

1,339 RV

Morning Consult
84.0%

Trump

15.0%

Haley

+69 Trump

Jan 12 – 25

508 RV

University of Housto...
80.0%

Trump

19.0%

Haley

+61 Trump

Jan 14 – 16

1,315 RV

Emerson College Poll...
68.6%

Trump

10.5%

Haley

+58 Trump

Dec 2 – 11

1,200 RV

UT Austin/The Texas ...
65.0%

Trump

9.0%

Haley

+56 Trump

Nov 2 – Dec 1

3,064 LV

Morning Consult
69.0%

Trump

7.0%

Haley

+62 Trump

Nov 21 – 23

458 LV

CWS Research/Defend ...
70.0%

Trump

20.0%

Haley

+50 Trump

Nov 21 – 23

458 LV

CWS Research/Defend ...
61.0%

Trump

11.0%

Haley

+50 Trump

Oct 7 – 19

524 RV

University of Housto...
58.0%

Trump

6.0%

Haley

+52 Trump

+ More Polls

The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).

Donald Trump headshot

Donald Trump

Donald Trump is an American businessman, television personality, and politician who served as the 45th President of the United States from January 2017 to January 2021. Before his presidency, Trump was known for his real estate empire and for hosting the reality TV show, "The Apprentice." His presidency was notable for its non-traditional, often controversial, approach and prioritization of America-first policies. Trump was impeached twice by the House of Representatives, first in 2019 and then in 2021, but was acquitted both times by the Senate.

Nikki Haley headshot

Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley is an American politician and diplomat who served as the U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations from 2017 to 2018. Prior to that, she was the Governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017, becoming South Carolina's first female and first minority governor. Haley is a member of the Republican Party and a notable figure within it. She started her political career as a member of the South Carolina House of Representatives from 2005 to 2011.

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