Sponsored content

Decision Desk HQ / The Hill Logo

Decision Desk HQ and The Hill's ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results.

Texas Senate polls, Cruz vs. Allred

Cruz has a 3.8% lead based on 50 polls.

Nov 21, 2024

Photograph of Cruz

Cruz

49.8%
Photograph of Allred

Allred

46.0%

Estimate

95% of polls fall in this range

A bit of background... The 2024 Texas Senate race is a test of the state's shifting political landscape. Analysts expected the Republican incumbent Ted Cruz to be a slight favorite but the Democratic candidate Colin Allred to be close behind and within striking distance. Texas's rapidly growing and increasingly diverse electorate presents challenges and opportunities for the candidates. The ability to mobilize key constituencies and appeal to a broad range of voters will be crucial factors in determining the outcome of this race.

50 polls

Latest Poll: Tue, Nov 5, 3:53 AM EST

Nov 2 – 5

2,434 LV

AtlasIntel
52.5%

Cruz

45.5%

Allred

+7 Cruz

Oct 27 – 29

600 LV

Cygnal
49.0%

Cruz

45.0%

Allred

+4 Cruz

Oct 22 – 28

400 LV

ActiVote
52.4%

Cruz

47.6%

Allred

+5 Cruz

+ More Polls

The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).

Collin Allred headshot

Collin Allred

Collin Allred is an American lawyer, former professional athlete, and politician affiliated with the Democratic Party. He was born on April 15, 1983, in Dallas, Texas. Before entering politics, Allred played professional football with the Tennessee Titans in the National Football League (NFL) and later served in the Department of Housing and Urban Development during the Obama administration. He was elected to the U.S. House of Representatives from Texas's 32nd congressional district in 2018. He is known for his advocacy on issues related to healthcare, voting rights, and gun safety.

Ted Cruz headshot

Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz is an American politician and attorney who has served as a United States Senator from Texas since 2013. He is a member of the Republican Party and ran for President in the 2016 election. He is known for his conservative stance on issues such as taxes, healthcare, and immigration. Prior to his senate term, Cruz served as the Solicitor General of Texas.

Related Stories