Texas Senate polls, Cruz vs. Allred
Cruz has a 7.4% lead based on 11 polls.
May 17, 2024
Cruz
47.0%
Allred
39.6%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
A bit of background... The 2024 Texas Senate race is a test of the state's shifting political landscape. Analysts expected the Republican incumbent Ted Cruz to be a slight favorite but the Democratic candidate Colin Allred to be close behind and within striking distance. Texas's rapidly growing and increasingly diverse electorate presents challenges and opportunities for the candidates. The ability to mobilize key constituencies and appeal to a broad range of voters will be crucial factors in determining the outcome of this race.
11 polls
Latest Poll: Thu, May 16, 1:58 PM EDT
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13 – 23 | 1,200 RV | Texas Politics Proje... | 46.0%Cruz 33.0%Allred | +13 Cruz |
| Apr 6 – 11 | 1,600 LV | Texas Hispanic Polic... | 46.0%Cruz 41.0%Allred | +5 Cruz |
| Mar 19 – 22 | 1,117 RV | Marist Poll | 51.0%Cruz 45.0%Allred | +6 Cruz |
| Feb 19 – 27 | 1,167 RV | University of Texas ... | 41.0%Allred 41.0%Cruz | TIE |
| Feb 3 – 13 | 1,200 RV | University of Texas ... | 45.0%Cruz 32.0%Allred | +13 Cruz |
| Feb 7 – 9 | 807 LV | National Public Affa... | 44.0%Allred 44.0%Cruz | TIE |
| Jan 12 – 25 | 1,500 RV | University of Housto... | 48.0%Cruz 39.0%Allred | +9 Cruz |
| Jan 14 – 16 | 1,315 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 41.0%Cruz 40.1%Allred | +1 Cruz |
| Dec 2 – 11 | 1,200 RV | UT Austin/The Texas ... | 42.0%Cruz 27.0%Allred | +15 Cruz |
| May 11 – 22 | 1,413 RV | University of Texas ... | 42.0%Cruz 37.0%Allred | +5 Cruz |
+ More Polls
The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
Collin Allred
Collin Allred is an American lawyer, former professional athlete, and politician affiliated with the Democratic Party. He was born on April 15, 1983, in Dallas, Texas. Before entering politics, Allred played professional football with the Tennessee Titans in the National Football League (NFL) and later served in the Department of Housing and Urban Development during the Obama administration. He was elected to the U.S. House of Representatives from Texas's 32nd congressional district in 2018. He is known for his advocacy on issues related to healthcare, voting rights, and gun safety.
Ted Cruz
Ted Cruz is an American politician and attorney who has served as a United States Senator from Texas since 2013. He is a member of the Republican Party and ran for President in the 2016 election. He is known for his conservative stance on issues such as taxes, healthcare, and immigration. Prior to his senate term, Cruz served as the Solicitor General of Texas.
