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Virginia 2 House polls, Kiggans vs. Smasal

Kiggans has a 5.0% lead based on 2 polls.

Oct 22, 2024

Photograph of Kiggans

Kiggans

45.0%
Photograph of Smasal

Smasal

40.0%

Estimate

95% of polls fall in this range

2 polls

Latest Poll: Tue, Oct 22, 12:43 PM EDT

Sep 7 – 11

792 LV

Christopher Newport ...
45.0%

Kiggans

40.0%

Smasal

+5 Kiggans

May 29 – 31

420 LV

DCCC Targeting and A...
48.0%

Kiggans

44.0%

Smasal

+4 Kiggans

The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).

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