Virginia 2 House polls, Kiggans vs. Smasal
Kiggans has a 1.0% lead based on 4 polls.
Dec 12, 2024
Kiggans
46.1%
Smasal
45.1%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
4 polls
Latest Poll: Wed, Nov 27, 8:05 AM EST
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 – 21 | 373 LV | DCCC Targeting and A... | 47.0%Kiggans 47.0%Smasal | TIE |
| Oct 12 – 21 | 800 LV | Christopher Newport ... | 46.0%Kiggans 45.0%Smasal | +1 Kiggans |
| Sep 7 – 11 | 792 LV | Christopher Newport ... | 45.0%Kiggans 40.0%Smasal | +5 Kiggans |
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The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
