Virginia Senate polls, Kaine vs. Cao
Kaine has a 12.7% lead based on 14 polls.
Oct 22, 2024
Kaine
53.1%
Cao
40.4%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
14 polls
Latest Poll: Tue, Oct 22, 12:43 PM EDT
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10 – Oct 15 | 400 LV | ActiVote | 55.9%Kaine 44.1%Cao | +12 Kaine |
| Sep 29 – Oct 5 | 800 LV | Christopher Newport ... | 55.0%Kaine 35.0%Cao | +20 Kaine |
| Sep 23 – 25 | 860 LV | Emerson College Poll... | 51.1%Kaine 41.2%Cao | +10 Kaine |
+ More Polls
The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
