Virginia Senate polls, Kaine vs. Cao
Kaine has a 9.8% lead based on 22 polls.
Dec 14, 2024
Kaine
52.2%
Cao
42.4%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
22 polls
Latest Poll: Wed, Nov 27, 8:05 AM EST
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – 5 | 2,202 LV | AtlasIntel | 52.6%Kaine 44.0%Cao | +9 Kaine |
| Nov 3 – 4 | 423 LV | Research Co. | 56.0%Kaine 44.0%Cao | +12 Kaine |
| Oct 29 – 31 | 520 LV | Chism Strategies | 46.4%Kaine 44.9%Cao | +2 Kaine |
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The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
