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Decision Desk HQ and The Hill's ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results.

Biden vs. Trump polls, Washington

Biden has a 11.5% lead based on 10 polls.

Dec 15, 2024

Photograph of Biden

Biden

52.6%
Photograph of Trump

Trump

41.1%

Estimate

95% of polls fall in this range

10 polls

Latest Poll: Wed, Nov 27, 8:05 AM EST

May 16 – 17

615 LV

Public Policy Pollin...
55.0%

Biden

39.0%

Trump

+16 Biden

Apr 17 – 24

250 RV

The Independent Cent...
46.0%

Trump

45.0%

Biden

+1 Trump

Apr 15 – 22

418 LV

John Zogby Strategie...
51.8%

Biden

39.7%

Trump

+12 Biden

+ More Polls

The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).

Donald Trump headshot

Donald Trump

Donald Trump is an American businessman, television personality, and politician who served as the 45th President of the United States from January 2017 to January 2021. Before his presidency, Trump was known for his real estate empire and for hosting the reality TV show, "The Apprentice." His presidency was notable for its non-traditional, often controversial, approach and prioritization of America-first policies. Trump was impeached twice by the House of Representatives, first in 2019 and then in 2021, but was acquitted both times by the Senate.

Joe Biden headshot

Joe Biden

Joe Biden is an American politician and a member of the Democratic Party who is serving as the 46th President of the United States. Before his presidency, he served as Vice President under President Barack Obama from 2009 to 2017. Prior to that, he represented the state of Delaware in the U.S. Senate, holding that seat from 1973 to 2009. Biden's extensive political career has focused on issues such as foreign policy, criminal justice, and civil rights.

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