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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Alabama 2 House Forecast likely dem POTENTIAL FLIP

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Shomari Figures has a 93% chance of winning Alabama 2.

CandidatePartyWin %

Shomari Figures

93%

Dick Brewbaker

7%

Chance of winning Alabama 2 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Alabama 2

Cook PVI

D+4.0

Last Winner

Republican

4 polls

Oct 23

994 RV

Montgomery Research
50.1%

Figures

45.5%

Dobson

+5 Figures

Oct 15 – 18

400 LV

Schoen Cooperman/Pro...
49.0%

Figures

38.0%

Dobson

+11 Figures

Jul 29 – Aug 4

400 LV

Impact Research/SPLC...
51.0%

Figures

39.0%

Dobson

+12 Figures

+ More Polls

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Shomari Figures

Cash on hand

$76,328

Raised

$346,108

Spent

$339,566

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Dick Brewbaker

Cash on hand

$32,105

Raised

$151,979

Spent

$1,727,444

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Alabama 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Alabama House 02Vote %Total Votes

Barry Moore

69.12%

137,460

Phyllis Harvey-Hall

29.17%

58,014

Jonathan Realz

1.71%

3,396

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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