| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Shomari Figures | 78% | |
Caroleene Dobson | 22% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning Alabama 2 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Alabama 2
Cook PVI
D+4.0
Last Winner
Republican
4 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | 994 RV | Montgomery Research | 50.1%Figures 45.5%Dobson | +5 Figures |
| Oct 15 – 18 | 400 LV | Schoen Cooperman/Pro... | 49.0%Figures 38.0%Dobson | +11 Figures |
| Jul 29 – Aug 4 | 400 LV | Impact Research/SPLC... | 51.0%Figures 39.0%Dobson | +12 Figures |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shomari Figures | $445,084 | $1,589,949 | $1,729,566 | October 16, 2024 | |
Caroleene Dobson | $122,440 | $1,078,135 | $3,056,155 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$445,084
Raised
$1,589,949
Spent
$1,729,566
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$122,440
Raised
$1,078,135
Spent
$3,056,155
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Alabama 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 Alabama House 02 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Barry Moore | 69.12% | 137,460 |
Phyllis Harvey-Hall | 29.17% | 58,014 |
Jonathan Realz | 1.71% | 3,396 |
2022 Alabama House 02
Barry Moore
Vote %
69.12%
Total Votes
137,460
2022 Alabama House 02
Phyllis Harvey-Hall
Vote %
29.17%
Total Votes
58,014
2022 Alabama House 02
Jonathan Realz
Vote %
1.71%
Total Votes
3,396
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
