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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Alaska At Large House Forecast tossup

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Mary Peltola has a 52% chance of winning Alaska At Large.

CandidatePartyWin %

Mary Peltola

INCUMBENT

52%

Nancy Dahlstrom / Nick Begich

48%

Chance of winning Alaska At Large over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Alaska At Large

Cook PVI

R+8.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Mary Peltola

Cash on hand

$2,574,831

Raised

$3,605,209

Spent

$2,734,885

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Nancy Dahlstrom

Cash on hand

$396,181

Raised

$105,482

Spent

$70,250

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Nick Begich

Cash on hand

$178,114

Raised

$606,459

Spent

$471,138

Date

March 31, 2024

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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