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Alaska At Large House Forecast tossup POTENTIAL FLIP

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Nick Begich III has a 62% chance of winning Alaska At Large.

CandidatePartyWin %

Nick Begich III

62%

Mary Peltola

INCUMBENT

38%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Alaska At Large over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Alaska At Large

Cook PVI

R+8.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Mary Peltola

Cash on hand

$1,163,587

Raised

$9,281,637

Spent

$10,911,365

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Nick Begich III

Cash on hand

$279,455

Raised

$1,753,800

Spent

$1,801,361

Date

October 16, 2024

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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