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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Arizona 2 House Forecast likely gop

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Eli Crane has a 94% chance of winning Arizona 2.

CandidatePartyWin %

Eli Crane

INCUMBENT

94%

Jonathan Nez

6%

Chance of winning Arizona 2 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Arizona 2

Cook PVI

R+6.3

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Eli Crane

Cash on hand

$1,376,504

Raised

$3,851,112

Spent

$2,625,043

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Jonathan Nez

Cash on hand

$226,052

Raised

$353,747

Spent

$154,214

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Arizona 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Arizona House 02Vote %Total Votes

Eli Crane

53.86%

174,169

Tom O'Halleran

46.12%

149,151

Chris Sarappo

0.02%

76

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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