| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Eli Crane INCUMBENT | 95% | |
Jonathan Nez | 5% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning Arizona 2 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Arizona 2
Cook PVI
R+6.3
Last Winner
Republican
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eli Crane | $1,078,548 | $7,267,656 | $6,377,986 | October 16, 2024 | |
Jonathan Nez | $324,729 | $3,926,708 | $3,703,010 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,078,548
Raised
$7,267,656
Spent
$6,377,986
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$324,729
Raised
$3,926,708
Spent
$3,703,010
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Arizona 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 Arizona House 02 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Eli Crane | 53.86% | 174,169 |
Tom O'Halleran | 46.12% | 149,151 |
Chris Sarappo | 0.02% | 76 |
2022 Arizona House 02
Eli Crane
Vote %
53.86%
Total Votes
174,169
2022 Arizona House 02
Tom O'Halleran
Vote %
46.12%
Total Votes
149,151
2022 Arizona House 02
Chris Sarappo
Vote %
0.02%
Total Votes
76
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
