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Arizona 2 House Forecast likely gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Eli Crane has a 94% chance of winning Arizona 2.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Eli Crane INCUMBENT		94%
Jonathan Nez		6%

Chance of winning Arizona 2 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Arizona 2

Cook PVI

R+6.3

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Eli Crane	$1,376,504	$3,851,112	$2,625,043	APRIL QUARTERLY	March 31, 2024
Jonathan Nez	$226,052	$353,747	$154,214	APRIL QUARTERLY	March 31, 2024

Candidate

Eli Crane

Cash on hand

$1,376,504

Raised

$3,851,112

Spent

$2,625,043

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Jonathan Nez

Cash on hand

$226,052

Raised

$353,747

Spent

$154,214

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Arizona 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.