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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

California 14 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Eric Swalwell has a >99% chance of winning California 14.

CandidatePartyWin %

Eric Swalwell

INCUMBENT

>99%

Vin Kruttiventi

<1%

Chance of winning California 14 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About California 14

Cook PVI

D+21.7

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Eric Swalwell

Cash on hand

$717,325

Raised

$2,435,760

Spent

$2,824,576

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Vin Kruttiventi

Cash on hand

$217,835

Raised

$66,174

Spent

$605,237

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 14. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 California House 14Vote %Total Votes

Eric Swalwell

69.34%

137,612

Alison Hayden

30.66%

60,852

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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