California 14 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Eric Swalwell has a >99% chance of winning California 14.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Eric Swalwell INCUMBENT		>99%
Vin Kruttiventi		<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning California 14 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About California 14

Cook PVI

D+21.7

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Eric Swalwell	$470,613	$3,209,784	$4,080,195	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
Vin Kruttiventi	$50,409	$94,597	$794,459	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Eric Swalwell

Cash on hand

$470,613

Raised

$3,209,784

Spent

$4,080,195

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Vin Kruttiventi

Cash on hand

$50,409

Raised

$94,597

Spent

$794,459

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 14. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.