| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
David Valadao INCUMBENT | 58% | |
Rudy Salas | 42% |
Chance of winning California 22 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About California 22
Cook PVI
D+5.1
Last Winner
Republican
4 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 – 27 | 525 LV | Emerson College Poll... | 46.7%Salas 45.0%Valadao | +2 Salas |
| Sep 24 – 27 | 350 LV | Emerson College Poll... | 45.4%Salas 45.0%Valadao | +0 Salas |
| Sep 15 – 22 | 263 LV | Center for Urban Pol... | 47.2%Salas 43.7%Valadao | +4 Salas |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
David Valadao | $1,640,960 | $731,755 | $1,223,542 | March 31, 2024 | |
Rudy Salas | $754,435 | $1,241,317 | $1,080,988 | March 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,640,960
Raised
$731,755
Spent
$1,223,542
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$754,435
Raised
$1,241,317
Spent
$1,080,988
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 22. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 California House 22 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
David G. Valadao | 51.52% | 52,993 |
Rudy Salas | 48.48% | 49,859 |
2022 California House 22
David G. Valadao
Vote %
51.52%
Total Votes
52,993
2022 California House 22
Rudy Salas
Vote %
48.48%
Total Votes
49,859
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
