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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

California 26 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Julia Brownley has a 98% chance of winning California 26.

CandidatePartyWin %

Julia Brownley

INCUMBENT

98%

Michael Koslow

2%

Chance of winning California 26 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About California 26

Cook PVI

D+8.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Julia Brownley

Cash on hand

$767,328

Raised

$534,393

Spent

$586,509

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Michael Koslow

Cash on hand

$1,241

Raised

$36,686

Spent

$40,444

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 26. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 California House 26Vote %Total Votes

Julia Brownley

54.53%

134,575

Matt Jacobs

45.47%

112,214

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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