California 26 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Julia Brownley has a 99% chance of winning California 26.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Julia Brownley INCUMBENT		99%
Michael Koslow		1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning California 26 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About California 26

Cook PVI

D+8.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Julia Brownley	$970,159	$779,033	$911,744	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
Michael Koslow	$18,943	$61,165	$80,222	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Julia Brownley

Cash on hand

$970,159

Raised

$779,033

Spent

$911,744

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Michael Koslow

Cash on hand

$18,943

Raised

$61,165

Spent

$80,222

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 26. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.