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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

California 36 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Ted Lieu has a >99% chance of winning California 36.

CandidatePartyWin %

Ted Lieu

INCUMBENT

>99%

Leah Toomim

<1%

Chance of winning California 36 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About California 36

Cook PVI

D+20.8

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Ted Lieu

Cash on hand

$863,611

Raised

$1,080,575

Spent

$1,535,831

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Leah Toomim

Cash on hand

$169

Raised

$12,227

Spent

$13,635

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 36. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 California House 36Vote %Total Votes

Ted W. Lieu

69.75%

194,299

Joe E. Collins III

30.25%

84,264

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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