California 36 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Ted Lieu has a >99% chance of winning California 36.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Ted Lieu INCUMBENT		>99%
Melissa Toomim		<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning California 36 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About California 36

Cook PVI

D+20.8

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Ted Lieu	$870,155	$1,533,283	$2,301,648	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
Melissa Toomim	$1,767	$36,408	$38,154	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Ted Lieu

Cash on hand

$870,155

Raised

$1,533,283

Spent

$2,301,648

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Melissa Toomim

Cash on hand

$1,767

Raised

$36,408

Spent

$38,154

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 36. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.