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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Illinois 17 House Forecast likely dem

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Eric Sorensen has a 82% chance of winning Illinois 17.

CandidatePartyWin %

Eric Sorensen

INCUMBENT

82%

Joe McGraw

18%

Chance of winning Illinois 17 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Illinois 17

Cook PVI

R+17.7

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Eric Sorensen

Cash on hand

$2,157,618

Raised

$1,954,166

Spent

$727,065

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Joe McGraw

Cash on hand

$325,191

Raised

$241,919

Spent

$199,945

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Illinois 17. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Illinois House 17Vote %Total Votes

Eric Sorensen

51.98%

121,186

Esther Joy King

48.01%

111,931

Brad Ahrens

0.00%

6

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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