Illinois 17 House Forecast likely dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Eric Sorensen has a 89% chance of winning Illinois 17.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Eric Sorensen INCUMBENT		89%
Joe McGraw		11%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Illinois 17 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Illinois 17

Cook PVI

R+17.7

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Eric Sorensen	$1,355,707	$3,222,502	$3,406,920	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
Joe McGraw	$331,299	$851,370	$1,053,804	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Eric Sorensen

Cash on hand

$1,355,707

Raised

$3,222,502

Spent

$3,406,920

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Joe McGraw

Cash on hand

$331,299

Raised

$851,370

Spent

$1,053,804

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Illinois 17. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.