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Illinois 17 House Forecast lean dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Eric Sorensen has a 79% chance of winning Illinois 17.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Eric Sorensen INCUMBENT		79%
Joe McGraw		21%

Chance of winning Illinois 17 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Illinois 17

Cook PVI

R+17.7

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Eric Sorensen	$2,157,618	$1,954,166	$727,065	APRIL QUARTERLY	March 31, 2024
Joe McGraw	$325,191	$241,919	$199,945	APRIL QUARTERLY	March 31, 2024

Candidate

Eric Sorensen

Cash on hand

$2,157,618

Raised

$1,954,166

Spent

$727,065

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Joe McGraw

Cash on hand

$325,191

Raised

$241,919

Spent

$199,945

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Illinois 17. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.