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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Indiana 1 House Forecast likely dem

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Frank Van has a 84% chance of winning Indiana 1.

CandidatePartyWin %

Frank Van

INCUMBENT

84%

Randell Niemeyer

16%

Chance of winning Indiana 1 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Indiana 1

Cook PVI

R+11.2

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Frank Van

Cash on hand

$1,238,183

Raised

$1,141,062

Spent

$681,118

Date

April 17, 2024

Candidate

Randell Niemeyer

Cash on hand

$295,575

Raised

$164,154

Spent

$107,258

Date

April 17, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Indiana 1. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Indiana House 01Vote %Total Votes

Frank J. Mrvan

52.84%

112,656

Jennifer-Ruth Green

47.16%

100,542

William F. Powers

0.00%

9

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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