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Indiana 1 House Forecast likely dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Frank Van has a 82% chance of winning Indiana 1.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Frank Van INCUMBENT		82%
Randell Niemeyer		18%

Chance of winning Indiana 1 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Indiana 1

Cook PVI

R+11.2

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Frank Van	$1,238,183	$1,141,062	$681,118	APRIL QUARTERLY	April 17, 2024
Randell Niemeyer	$295,575	$164,154	$107,258	APRIL QUARTERLY	April 17, 2024

Candidate

Frank Van

Cash on hand

$1,238,183

Raised

$1,141,062

Spent

$681,118

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

April 17, 2024

Candidate

Randell Niemeyer

Cash on hand

$295,575

Raised

$164,154

Spent

$107,258

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

April 17, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Indiana 1. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.