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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Iowa 1 House Forecast likely gop

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Mariannette Miller-Meeks has a 87% chance of winning Iowa 1.

CandidatePartyWin %

Mariannette Miller-Meeks

INCUMBENT

87%

Christina Bohannan

13%

Chance of winning Iowa 1 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Iowa 1

Cook PVI

R+22.2

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Mariannette Miller-Meeks

Cash on hand

$1,865,807

Raised

$1,267,640

Spent

$1,391,202

Date

May 15, 2024

Candidate

Christina Bohannan

Cash on hand

$1,828,607

Raised

$2,375,006

Spent

$780,700

Date

May 15, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Iowa 1. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Iowa House 01Vote %Total Votes

Mariannette Miller-Meeks

53.40%

162,947

Christina Bohannan

46.60%

142,173

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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