Iowa 1 House Forecast likely gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Mariannette Miller-Meeks has a 86% chance of winning Iowa 1.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Mariannette Miller-Meeks INCUMBENT		86%
Christina Bohannan		14%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Iowa 1 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Iowa 1

Cook PVI

R+22.2

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Mariannette Miller-Meeks	$1,471,348	$2,011,234	$3,707,814	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
Christina Bohannan	$817,670	$5,242,982	$5,062,210	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Mariannette Miller-Meeks

Cash on hand

$1,471,348

Raised

$2,011,234

Spent

$3,707,814

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Christina Bohannan

Cash on hand

$817,670

Raised

$5,242,982

Spent

$5,062,210

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Iowa 1. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.